Transcritical CO2 Market Size USD 156.66 Bn by 2034, CAGR 16.30%

Transcritical CO2 Market Size Worth USD 156.66 Billion By 2034 | CAGR: 16.30%


The global transcritical CO2 market size is expected to reach USD 156.66 billion by 2034, according to a new study by Polaris Market Research. The report “Transcritical CO2 Market Share, Size, Trends, Industry Analysis Report, By Function (Refrigeration, Heating, Air Conditioning); By Application; By Region; Segment Forecast, 2025 - 2034” gives a detailed insight into current market dynamics and provides analysis on future market growth.

Since CO2 is a more environmentally friendly refrigerant than synthetic alternatives, the transcritical CO2 market has grown at a significant rate. The market's minimum environmental impact is one of its main motivators. With a negligible global warming potential (GWP) and zero ozone depletion potential (ODP), carbon dioxide is a naturally occurring refrigerant. Industries are adopting these systems more frequently in response to strict regulations eliminating gradually synthetic refrigerants known for their adverse effects on the ozone layer and contribution to global warming.

One other important factor driving the market's growth is energy efficiency. High energy efficiency transcritical CO2's are well-known, especially in colder climates where traditional refrigerants tend to lose efficiency. Because these systems can effectively provide heating even in below-freezing temperatures, adoption has increased, particularly in areas with colder climates.  

The market is still limited by several issues, such as the high initial costs associated with deploying transcritical CO2 systems. Compared to conventional systems, the equipment and technology needed for the refrigeration may require a larger investment. Some end users might find this cost factor prohibitive, especially in developing nations where money constraint is high. The complexity of these systems presents another difficulty because installation, operation, and maintenance require specialized knowledge.

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Leading companies in the market, including multinational corporations and creative startups, are devoting a substantial amount of funds to R&D projects. The primary objectives of these initiatives are transcritical CO2 system’s dependability, efficiency, and safety. Also, producers are focusing on enhancing the application and scalability of the solution.

Market Report Highlights

  • In 2024, the refrigeration segment emerged as the dominant revenue holder owing to the increasing recognition of transcritical CO2 systems as an environment-friendly solution for refrigeration applications.
  • The retail segment is anticipated to hold the largest revenue share in the market because retail establishments, such as supermarkets, hypermarkets, and convenience stores have become the point of attraction for the adoption of these systems,
  • In North America, the market is predicted to grow at the fastest rate because the region is home to a large number of the most prestigious food manufacturing companies in the world many of which have started using CO2 for refrigeration.
  • The global key market players include Advansor A/S, Baltimore Aircoil Company Inc., BITZER KÜHLMASCHINENBAU GMBH, Carnot Refrigeration Inc., Carrier Commercial Refrigeration, Danfoss GmbH, Emerson Climate Technologies, Green & Cool World Refrigeration Ab, Henry Technologies Inc., Hill Phoenix Inc, Mayekawa MSG. Co. Ltd., SCM Frigo SPA, Shecco SPRL, Systems LMP Inc., etc.

Polaris Market Research has segmented the transcritical co2 market report based on function, application, and region:

Function Outlook (Revenue - USD Billion, 2020 - 2034)

  • Refrigeration
  • Heating
  • Air Conditioning

Application Outlook (Revenue - USD Billion, 2020 - 2034)

  • Heat Pumps
  • Retail
  • Food Processing
  • Ice Skating Rinks
  • Others

Regional Outlook (Revenue - USD Billion, 2020 - 2034)

  • North America
  • U.S.
  • Canada
  • Europe
  • Germany
  • UK
  • France
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • Russia
  • Netherlands
  • Asia Pacific
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • South Korea
  • Indonesia
  • Malaysia
  • Latin America
  • Argentina
  • Brazil
  • Mexico
  • Middle East & Africa
  • UAE
  • Saudi Arabia
  • Israel
  • South Africa

Market Report Scope

Report Attributes

Details

The market size value in 2025

USD 41.34 billion

Revenue Forecast in 2034

USD 156.66 billion

CAGR

16.30% from 2025 – 2034

Base year

2024

Historical data

2020 – 2023

Forecast period

2025 – 2034

Quantitative units

Revenue in USD billion and CAGR from 2025 to 2034

Segments Covered

By Function, By Application, and By Region

Regional scope

North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America; Middle East & Africa

Customization

Report customization as per your requirements concerning countries, regions, and segmentation.

For Specific Research Requirements

Request for Customized Report